Tropical Depression Ten has formed in the western Caribbean

Tropical Depression Ten has formed in the western Caribbean and is forecast to move north into the Gulf. It could impact the Carolinas by midweek. 2-3 inches of rain are expected associated with a cold front on Monday and Tuesday, ahead of the potential tropical system. If the tropical system impacts our area, the primary threat will be additional heavy rain. Gusty winds, and possibly an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. However, it is too early to determine the exact impacts.

Significant uncertainty remains in the forecast track. If the system tracks toward the coast, impacts will be greatly reduced. If the system tracks west, we can expect more rain and gustier winds. The current forecast calls for drying conditions expected toward the weekend. As I stated in my forecast updates on social media this evening. Expect adjustment to be made to the last half of the week in the forecast as we get a better handle on the track for this system.