Why Today’s “General Thunderstorm Risk” Still Deserves Your Attention

By Steve Monday | Rowan County Weather
June 12, 2025

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Rowan County under a “general thunderstorm risk” for today—and while that might not sound like a big deal compared to a Marginal or Slight risk, it’s still important to take seriously.

What Does a “General Thunderstorm Risk” Mean?

A general thunderstorm outlook means that organized severe storms are not expected, but scattered thunderstorms are likely, especially during the afternoon and evening. These storms typically form due to daytime heating, moisture, and weak atmospheric disturbances—and that’s exactly what we’re seeing across our region today.

What’s Fueling Today’s Storm Setup?

This morning, a warm front that had been stalled earlier in the week is lifting northward through the Carolinas. That front is allowing deep moisture to surge back into the area. Dewpoints have climbed into the low 70s, and precipitable water values (PWATs) are nearing 1.9 inches—that’s a recipe for downpours and lightning.

Forecast models show the potential for scattered pulse storms—the kind that form quickly, drop heavy rain in one spot, and then fade out just as fast. While not severe by definition, these storms can still deliver:

• Locally heavy rainfall that may cause brief street flooding

• Frequent lightning, a serious hazard for anyone outdoors

• Isolated gusty winds, especially in the strongest cells

Even without large hail or tornadoes, these hazards can still disrupt plans, damage outdoor items, and pose a risk to people caught outside when storms develop suddenly.

When Are Storms Most Likely?

The highest chances for storm development begin after 3 PM and continue through the evening hours. Storms may linger past sunset but should begin to fade by midnight.

Today’s setup is a classic Rowan County summer pattern—warm, humid, and unstable enough to fire off storms in the heat of the afternoon.

Stay Weather Aware, Even on “Lower Risk” Days

Remember, a “general thunderstorm risk” does not mean no risk. It simply means we’re not expecting widespread or long-track severe weather. But when you factor in lightning, heavy rain, and sudden gusty winds, there’s still plenty of reason to stay alert and check radar before heading out later today.

You can follow Rowan County Weather on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for real-time radar updates this afternoon as storms begin to develop.