Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center — 8:00 AM EDT, Sunday, October 5, 2025

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of America

Tropical Atlantic (AL95)

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this week as it moves quickly across the central tropical Atlantic. The system could approach portions of the Leeward Islands by the latter part of the week.

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (40%)

• Formation chance through 7 days: High (70%)

North-Central Gulf

A weak area of low pressure located over the north-central Gulf is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday.

Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%)

• Formation chance through 7 days: Low (near 0%)

Source: National Hurricane Center (NOAA)
Rowan County Weather will continue to track the latest updates from the NHC throughout the week.