Tropical Weather Outlook – Atlantic Update

NWS National Hurricane Center – 2:00 AM EDT, Monday, September 15, 2025

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While dry and stable air is expected to limit development in the next day or so, gradual development is anticipated thereafter. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle to latter part of this week as the system moves west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (30%)

• Formation chance through 7 days: High (80%)