Tropical Storm Dorian Wednesday 8/28/19 Update

Wednesday, August 28, 2019 - 1:16pm

Confidence is growing that Tropical Storm Dorian will make landfall along the eastern United States over the Labor Day Weekend. The track could still change over the next 3-5 days bringing the storm 200 miles any direction away from the current track. Dorian has become a better organized storm over the past several hours. Very little strengthening of the storm is expected throughout the day today. as Dorian will move through the U.S. and British Virgin Islands. The real concern with the current forecasted track for Dorian is that the storm will pass east of the Bahamas keeping the storm over open waters making conditions favorable for Dorian to intensify in strength. Dorian could likely be a Category 3 Hurricane by the time it makes landfall in The United States. 

Over the next few days Dorian will likely encounter a strong ridge of pressure over the western Atlantic that will steer the storm West-Northwest direction toward Florida and the Southeast Coast of the United States. All indications are that by this weekend a Powerful Hurricane will be near the Florida or Southeast coast of the United States. Please do not focus on the exact forecast track of this storm as the storm could shift 200 miles either direction over the next five days. 

Key Messages

1. Hurricane conditions are expected in the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, Culebra and Vieques today. Tropical Storm conditions are expected in Puerto Rico today with Hurricane conditions possible.

2. Heavy rainfall over portions of Puerto Rico and the U.S and British Virgin Islands could produce flash flooding during the next couple of days. Heavy Rains are expected to occur over portions of the Bahamas, Florida and elsewhere in the southeastern United States later this week and early into next week.

3. The risk of dangerous storm surge and Hurricane force winds in increasing in the central and northwest Bahamas and along the Florida east coast. Although it is to soon to determine where these hazards will occur. Residents in these areas should ensure that they have their Hurricane plan in place and not focus on the exact forecast track of Dorian's center.

As we head into the Labor Day weekend I will be able to provide more insight on what if any impacts we could see here in Rowan County from Dorian. As I have stated since the first blog post I made on this storm. The plan for now is to stay weather aware and continue to follow all updates concerning the forecast as it relates to Dorian. As always thank you for following Rowan County Weather!




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