Tropical Storm Barry Friday morning update

Friday, July 12, 2019 - 9:17am

THIS MORNING TROPICAL STORM BARRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. A TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BARRY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA TONIGHT OR SATURDAY, AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY.  AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND BARRY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY WHEN THE CENTER IS NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER BARRY MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. AN UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY STATION NEAR POINT A LA HACHE, LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 998 MB (29.47 INCHES).

 STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO DANGEROUS, LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY TONIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA STARTING EARLY TODAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. TORNADOES: A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA, FAR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI, AND THE ALABAMA COAST.

IMPACTS TO ROWAN COUNTY FROM BARRY ARE OF NO CONCERN. THE STORM WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST BEFORE IT COMPLETELY DISSIPATES. 

 

THE COUNTY DOES STAND TO GET A DECENT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL NOT ASSOCIATED WITH BARRY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE. SOME AREAS OF THE COUNTY COULD SEE AROUND 4 -5 INCHES OF RAINFALL BY SATURDAY EVENING. AGAIN THIS IS NOT MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH BARRY. THESE ARE SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WILL BUILD BASED ON THE GENERAL HEATING OF THE DAY. YOUR TYPICAL GARDEN VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS. I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TRACK OF BARRY AND ADJUST OUR FORECAST AS NEEDED. AS ALWAYS THANK YOU FOR FOLLOWING ROWAN COUNTY WEATHER!

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