Long Range Winter Forecast 2018-2019

Tuesday, October 30, 2018 - 7:12pm

The Rowan County Weather Winter Weather Forecast 2018-2019 is here.

A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States this winter according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, above-average temperatures are most likely across the northern and western U.S., Alaska and Hawaii. However, here in the southeast. Conditions may be more favorable for a colder wetter winter than usual. 

Additionally, El Nino has a 70 to 75 percent chance of developing. Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North.

 

In the southeast and especially here in Rowan County we have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures. For the upcoming winter season.

Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the U.S., and up into the Mid-Atlantic. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation this winter. 

One interesting fact I discovered while preparing this forecast is Rowan County averages 3 to 5 inches of snowfall for the winter months. If you look at the chart above you can see that since 1970 we have had periods of time where several years have gone by with no snowfall. When you look at the years where we did have snowfall. There are many years in that time period where we had accumulations of 5-10 inches. If not for the streaks of time that provided us with no measurable snowfall for the winter we would have a much higher average of snowfall around the county. El Nino being more active this winter will play to the favor of more chances for precipitation. The timing of cold air and moisture will be key to how much snowfall we get. 

This winter we will likely see temperatures for the most part with lows in the 30’s and highs in the 50’s. There will be some cold fronts that will pass through that will give us below normal temperatures from time to time. 

As far as potential snowfall for this winter. Typically Rowan County averages 3-5 inches of snowfall during the winter months. With the potential setup we are seeing with El Nino and the possibility of cold fronts passing through with available moisture in the atmosphere. I feel this winter could be above average for the county. I am predicting we see 4-7 inches of snowfall accumulation over the winter. Our best chances for snowfall will be mid-January through mid-February. 

 

I will of course keep you updated with the weather forecast and changing conditions that come with the Winter season. Right here at www.rowancountyweather.com as well as on my social media outlets. As always thank you for following Rowan County Weather!

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